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SOUTH REGION · Thu, Mar 19

(6) North Carolina vs (11) VCU

SPREAD: UNC -2.5 O/U: 155.5 ML: UNC -152 / VCU +127
SCORING
STAT(6) UNC(11) VCU
PTS FOR77.3 (62)79.2 (46)
PTS AGST73.3 (97)67.1 (21)
NET PTS4.0 (72)12.1 (13)
FG%46.1 (69)45.2 (97)
3PT%33.0 (166)35.0 (91)
FT%69.7 (253)74.1 (103)
SHOOTING VOLUME (per game)
STAT(6) UNC(11) VCU
3PTA23.9 (133)27.0 (50)
3PTM7.9 (137)9.5 (32)
2PTA35.7 (158)31.8 (299)
2PTM19.6 (56)17.2 (199)
FTA20.6 (99)22.2 (42)
FTM14.4 (127)16.5 (40)
DEFENSE & BALL CONTROL (per game)
STAT(6) UNC(11) VCU
STL5.6 (266)7.7 (48)
BLK3.5 (124)4.9 (21)
TO10.3 (70)10.5 (97)
PF15.9 (60)17.7 (194)
AST14.9 (59)14.5 (73)
AST/TO1.45 (60)1.38 (71)
REBOUNDING (per game)
STAT(6) UNC(11) VCU
REB33.7 (51)34.4 (35)
OREB8.3 (210)10.8 (34)
DREB25.4 (19)23.6 (64)
ADJUSTED EFFICIENCY (SOS-adjusted)
METRIC(6) UNC(11) VCU
ADJ OFF EFFN/A110.3
ADJ DEF EFFN/A97.9
ADJ NET EFFN/A12.4
SOS ADJN/A-5.1
COMP RATINGN/A71.7
HISTORICAL BETTING SIGNALS (2014–2025, R64)
SIGNALVALUENOTE
MATCHUP6v1140 games in sample
ATS SIGNALLEAN DOGFavorites cover 43.6% in 6v11 — slight dog edge
O/U SIGNALSTRONG LEAN UNDERUnders hit 70.0% in 6v11 games historically
FAV COVER43.6%Dog covers: 56.4%
OVER %30.0%Avg total: 133.1
UPSET RATE55.0%WARNING: 55.0% historical upset rate — 11 seed wins more than half the time
SEASON BETTING RECORDS (2025–26)
METRIC(6) UNC(11) VCU
ATS W-L-P18-12-217-17-0
ATS COV%56%50%
O/U O-U-P14-17-114-17-3
O/U OVR%44%41%
1H OVR%50%47%
2H OVR%38%31%
(6) UNC — PLAYER STATS
PLAYERPOSYRHTGPMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKFG%3P%3PAFT%
S. TrimbleGSr6' 3"2332.014.03.62.81.10.247%29%2.667%
C. WilsonFFr6' 10"2431.519.89.42.71.51.458%26%1.171%
H. VeesaarCJr7' 0"3031.116.78.72.00.61.261%42%2.962%
J. StevensonFJr6' 10"3225.68.04.40.90.60.747%29%2.774%
L. BogavacGFr6' 6"3224.19.82.52.20.30.040%36%4.574%
K. EvansGJr6' 2"3218.04.11.22.60.50.033%30%3.369%
D. DixonGFr6' 5"3221.76.42.22.60.40.037%39%3.782%
E. DavisGSr6' 3"61.70.50.20.00.00.025%25%0.70%
J. YoungGJr6' 4"307.41.80.90.40.20.130%28%1.575%
Z. HighFSo6' 10"289.13.42.80.50.40.247%19%0.668%
J. PowellGSo6' 6"3216.24.82.30.80.50.139%38%3.146%
J. BrownFSo6' 10"95.61.21.40.30.10.275%0%0.038%
I. DenisGFr6' 4"103.41.90.60.10.10.050%50%0.850%
E. SmithGJr6' 1"51.61.41.00.60.00.067%0%0.075%
J. HolbrookFSo6' 8"51.60.20.60.00.00.00%0%0.050%
I. MatlekovicCSo7' 0"41.50.50.00.00.00.0100%0%0.00%
(11) VCU — PLAYER STATS
PLAYERPOSYRHTGPMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKFG%3P%3PAFT%
B. EvansFSr6' 8"3426.57.25.02.10.90.544%33%2.254%
N. LewisGFr6' 1"3324.18.74.51.71.10.040%37%3.874%
J. TraceyGSr6' 6"3422.19.92.91.80.70.443%38%4.870%
B. JenningsGSo6' 4"3424.68.73.52.21.70.844%43%1.685%
L. DjokovicFJr6' 11"3327.313.55.41.00.51.251%36%1.878%
K. MitchellFJr6' 11"1911.03.42.60.50.20.340%21%1.366%
T. Hill Jr.GSo6' 3"3424.314.42.52.80.60.146%36%5.985%
M. BelleFJr6' 8"3422.37.55.11.00.70.755%50%1.151%
T. WardGJr6' 6"2913.35.82.10.50.60.247%32%1.964%
C. FerminFSr6' 10"412.80.82.50.80.21.50%0%0.030%
A. NowellGSo6' 0"2710.74.71.20.60.50.145%41%2.175%
J. TilleryGFr6' 5"117.14.51.50.50.40.258%57%0.671%
J. DumontFSo6' 8"82.51.00.10.00.10.033%0%0.8100%
NATIONAL RANK COLOR KEY
TOP 10% TOP 25% TOP 45% MID BOT 40% BOT 25% BOT 10%